Thursday, January 7, 2010

Abortion brinksmanship

NY Times story about Congressman Stupak (D-MI) and his insistence that his language on abortion be included or that he and other Democrats in House will bolt the final bill. The calculus in the House is complicated, but goes something like this.

220 (Number of votes for the House bill, Nov. 7, 2009)
MINUS liberals who bolt due to no public option and/or other issues such as excise tax
PLUS Blue Dogs who like the Senate bill better than the House one
UKNOWN abortion. I suspect this makes the liberals less likely bolt.
UNKNOWN Rep. Cao, the lone Republican who voted for the House bill


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